WhitmanTrading

What Is a Basis Swap?

Basis swap is an interest rate swap in which both legs are floating, referencing different rates or different tenors of the same rate. It exists to manage the spread between two rates that are expected to track each other, and that spread is itself a traded price.

A normal swap exchanges fixed for floating. A basis swap exchanges floating for floating — which sounds pointless until you notice that two floating rates are not the same rate.

How it works

A price series with two floating streams exchanged.
A basis swap exchanges one floating rate for another. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Both legs reference a floating rate, but different ones — different benchmarks, different currencies, or the same benchmark at different tenors.

A steady series with a spread between two rates.
It trades the spread between them. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

One leg carries a spread. Since the two rates are not identical in value, a fixed adjustment is added to one side to make the swap worth zero at the start.

A rising series where two rates diverge.
Which should be stable and sometimes is not. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

That spread is the traded price. It moves, it is quoted, and it is the entire economic content of the instrument.

A falling series where a spread widens under stress.
The spread widens in funding stress. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Why two floating rates differ at all

A choppy series where the spread becomes volatile.
So it is a stress indicator as well as a hedge. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Different credit content. A rate reflecting unsecured bank lending carries bank credit risk; one reflecting secured overnight lending does not, and the gap between them is a price for that difference.

A slow series where the spread persists over years.
And different again over a long horizon. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Different tenors. Three-month money and one-month money are not interchangeable; borrowing for longer carries more of whatever the market is worried about.

A calm series where the spread is negligible.
A quiet stretch hides what it measures. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

And different currencies. A cross-currency basis reflects relative demand for funding in each currency, and it can move sharply when one becomes hard to obtain.

A worked example

A bank’s assets earn three-month floating. Its liabilities cost one-month floating, because that is how its depositors and funding markets work.

Those two rates normally move together — but not identically, and the difference between them is the bank’s margin moving around for reasons unconnected to its lending decisions.

A falling series with a stop level marked.
A stop fills where the market is. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

A basis swap exchanges one for the other, locking the relationship and leaving the bank with a stable margin.

What it has bought is not protection against rates moving. Both legs float, so a general rise or fall passes through both sides. It has bought protection against the two rates moving differently, which is a much narrower and much less obvious risk.

When the spread stops being boring

In calm conditions it is a few basis points and nobody looks. The two rates track, the swap is uneventful, and the instrument is pure plumbing.

In funding stress it moves violently. A widening cross-currency basis means institutions are paying a premium to obtain one currency, which is a direct measure of scarcity rather than an opinion about it.

Which makes the basis a diagnostic. It is one of the few prices that reflects the mechanics of funding rather than views about the economy, and it moves before most sentiment measures do.

And it is why these instruments get attention in crises and none the rest of the time. The quantity being traded is the assumption that two similar things stay similar, and that assumption is exactly what breaks first when a system is under strain.

The original data

On this site’s shared series a round trip costs 0.0098, about 2% of the median bar range of 0.493. The ninetieth percentile bar is 1.101 and the largest is 2.338.

The largest bar being 4.7 times the median is the relevant shape here. A basis spread behaves the same way — negligible almost always, and capable of a move many times its typical size in conditions that are rare and not absent.

A candlestick chart annotated with the cost of a round trip.
A round trip costs a share of a bar. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

And the drawdown measurement makes the same point about persistence: 95% of bars sit below a prior peak and the longest such stretch ran 73 bars. A dislocated basis can stay dislocated far longer than a position sized for the calm case can survive.

A price series with volume shown beneath.
Volume and price measure different things. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Who uses them

Banks managing asset and liability mismatches, which is the largest use by volume and the least visible.

Corporates with debt in one currency and revenue in another, where the cross-currency basis is a real cost of running the business.

And relative-value traders taking a view on the spread itself, which is a position that looks safe because both legs float, and is not.

That last group is where the instrument earns its reputation. A basis position appears hedged — no outright rate exposure, no direction — and what remains is a leveraged bet on two things staying related, which is the shape of position that has historically produced the most surprising losses.

And banks themselves, structurally. A bank borrows short and lends long as a matter of business model, so a basis exposure is not a position it chose but a by-product of existing at all — which is why this market’s largest participants are also its most consistent users.

When it fails

The characteristic failure is treating a narrow spread as a stable one. A basis that has sat within a few basis points for years looks like a low-risk carry opportunity, and the position is sized against that history. The history describes calm conditions, the spread is a measure of funding stress, and it moves by a multiple of its normal range precisely when everything else is also going wrong. The risk was not absent; it was dormant, and a long quiet period made it look smaller rather than making it smaller.

A candlestick series with a gap through a level.
A gap skips the level entirely. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

A second failure is calling a floating-floating position hedged. It has no outright rate exposure and a large exposure to the relationship.

A third is ignoring the credit content of a reference rate, which is what most of the spread is actually paying for.

A fourth is assuming benchmark reform left old relationships intact. The replacement of legacy benchmarks changed the credit content of several rates, and the bases between them changed with it.

A declining series cut short at a decision point.
The spread tripled. Add or exit? Illustrative chart - not real market data.

And a fifth is not watching it. For most people a basis is not a position to take, and it is one of the better free indicators of funding conditions available.

Interest rate swap covers the fixed-for-floating version. Basis risk covers the general problem of a hedge that does not track. And constant maturity swap covers another variation on the floating leg.

What I actually do

A basis swap trades the gap between two things that are supposed to be the same. Those gaps are usually tiny and boring, and when they stop being tiny it is nearly always because something in the funding system has gone wrong.

— Michael Whitman

This page is educational, not financial advice. Test every idea on your own charts before risking money.