WhitmanTrading

Liabilities: The Schedule Beats the Total

Liabilities are the obligations a company owes to other parties, listed opposite its assets on the balance sheet. Only part of the total is interest-bearing debt, and the maturity schedule disclosed in the notes decides how dangerous any given total actually is.

How it works

Everything the company owes, split by when it falls due: within twelve months, and beyond.

They fund the asset base alongside the owners. Every asset was paid for by someone, and the balance sheet identity is simply the arithmetic of who.

Not all of it is debt

A large total liabilities figure is not automatically a large debt figure. Interest-bearing borrowings are one component; amounts owed to suppliers, accrued wages, tax payable and deferred revenue are all liabilities and none of them carries interest.

Payables are interest-free funding. A company that collects from customers before paying suppliers is being financed by its own trading cycle, and a large payables balance in that context is a strength rather than a risk.

Deferred revenue is the friendliest liability there is. The customer has already paid; what the company owes is delivery, not money. It settles by doing work rather than by writing a check, and a growing balance is usually good news.

Separating those from actual borrowings is the first thing to do with the total, and it takes one glance at the note.

A provision is an estimate. Warranty costs, legal exposure, restructuring — recognized when an obligation is probable and can be estimated, at an amount the company chooses within a disclosed basis.

And a contingent liability is not on the page at all. Possible obligations that depend on a future event — an unresolved lawsuit, a guarantee — appear in the notes with an estimate of the exposure. They are real and they are not in the total.

In practice: the two ratios and the one schedule

Gearing is debt divided by equity, and it says how much of the business is funded by lenders. It is a level, and levels are only meaningful compared with the same industry.

Interest cover is operating income divided by interest, and it says how far earnings can fall before the interest bill becomes unpayable. It is a flow measure against a stock measure, and it is the more informative of the two.

And the maturity schedule beats both. Two companies with identical gearing are in completely different positions if one has debt spread evenly across ten years and the other has half of it maturing in March. The schedule is in the notes, it takes a minute to read, and it is where refinancing risk actually lives.

And the trade itself has a price: every round trip pays a spread, plus any commission.

A worked comparison shows why the total misleads. Two companies each report 1,500 of liabilities against 900 of equity — identical gearing. Company A’s figure is 900 of borrowings and 600 of payables and deferred revenue. Company B’s is 1,400 of borrowings and 100 of payables.

Company A pays interest on 900; Company B pays it on 1,400, and at 6% that is a difference of 30 a year against operating income of 150 — a fifth of the profit, invisible in the headline gearing ratio. Splitting the total into interest-bearing and non-interest-bearing takes one glance at the note, and it changes what the same gearing figure means on two different companies.

Table diagram of two companies with 1,500 of liabilities and 900 of equity: 900 against 1,400 of borrowings, and 30 a year of extra interest.
A diagram of this page's worked comparison: identical gearing, and a fifth of the profit difference in interest.

What liabilities are not

They are not all debt. Payables, accruals and deferred revenue carry no interest.

They are not all bad. Cheap or free funding is an advantage.

They are not complete. Contingent obligations are disclosed rather than carried.

And the total is not the risk. Timing is.

How this connects

They sit inside the accounting equation. Assets equal liabilities plus shareholders equity, so every obligation either funds an asset or reduces what belongs to the owners.

The current ratio compares the short-term part with short-term assets. It asks whether the company can meet what falls due this year without borrowing again, and it complements gearing rather than replacing it.

The debt ratio measures the same exposure against total assets. Lenders tend to look at the debt service coverage ratio instead, because it compares cash earned with the payments actually due.

Operating cash flow is the better test of whether obligations can be met. Profit can be positive while cash is short, and liabilities are paid in cash.

The interest rate on each borrowing matters as much as the size. A corporate bond locked in at a low rate is a very different obligation from a floating loan, and a callable bond lets the company refinance early when rates fall.

Credit risk is the lender’s name for the same analysis. A rating agency’s grade on the debt summarizes how likely the payments are to be made.

Every figure starts as a journal entry in the general ledger, and the detail sits in the notes to the accounts inside the 10-K.

And households have them too. A mortgage is the largest liability most people hold, and net worth is simply assets minus liabilities.

When it fails

The failure that matters is refinancing. A company with comfortable gearing, healthy interest cover and a large maturity in a quarter when credit is unavailable is in immediate difficulty, and every ratio on this page looked fine the week before.

The second failure is netting debt against cash without checking where the cash is. Net debt assumes the cash is available; cash held in a subsidiary in another jurisdiction may not be.

A third is ignoring covenants. Loan agreements contain conditions — ratios that must be maintained — and breaching one can make long-term debt immediately repayable.

A fourth is treating a provision as a certainty. It is the company’s estimate of an obligation that has not been settled, and estimates are revised.

And a fifth is missing the contingent items. The largest exposure a company faces is sometimes the one described in a paragraph rather than carried as a number.

The original data

Of the 24,971 trading and investing videos in this site’s corpus, 3 have “balance sheet” in the title at a median of 23,862 views. “Cash flow” returns 15 at a median of 67,134, and “income statement” returns 0. Where the attention actually went is visible in 594 videos on the relative strength index (“RSI”), at a median of 5,377 views. Repeat appearances of the same video count once.

Three videos on the balance sheet in a corpus of 24,971, each earning more than four times the median views of the 594 on one oscillator. The specific consequence for this page is that the maturity schedule — the note that decides whether a company’s debt is comfortable or urgent — is essentially undiscussed in the material a search will surface. It is one table, in every annual report, and reading it takes a minute — which makes it about the highest ratio of insight to effort available anywhere in a set of accounts.

Balance sheet is the page this side sits on. Current liabilities is what falls due within a year. And long-term liabilities is where the maturity schedule lives.

What I actually do

I read the maturity schedule, not just total debt. Modest gearing with half the borrowings maturing in one quarter is a different company from the same total spread over ten years, and only one of those facts is in the summary. The schedule is in the notes, so go and find it.

— Michael Whitman

This page is educational, not financial advice. Test every idea on your own charts before risking money.