WhitmanTrading

What Is Swing Trading?

Swing trading means holding a position for days or weeks to capture one move, rather than closing inside a session. The move available per trade is larger and the cost share smaller than day trading, in exchange for carrying overnight risk and sitting through drawdown.

What Is Swing Trading? — illustrated on a chart Watch me hold a position on a live chart (14:00)

The four style pages here are four aggregations of one price history, so these figures compare directly with the other three. This is the second-slowest view of it.

How it works

A candlestick chart of 48 bars covering the whole shared history.
The same history, twelve bars at a time. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Hold for days or weeks and take one move. The whole shared history is 48 candles at this speed, against 576 on the fastest chart.

The chart with a stretch of several bars shaded, marked with an entry and an exit.
One position, held across several bars.

The unit is a move, not a session. You are not trying to be right about tomorrow; you are trying to be right about a swing, and then to still be holding it when it finishes.

What the timeframe buys

The 48-bar chart with a median-sized bar marked.
The typical bar covers 2.26 — 4.6 times the fastest chart.

The typical bar covers 2.26, against 0.49 on the fastest view of the same market.

The 48-bar chart with the cost share annotated.
0.9% of the typical bar here, against 4.1% on the fastest chart.

So a 0.02 round trip is 0.9% of a bar instead of 4.1%.

Style Bars Typical bar 0.02 costs
Scalping 576 0.49 4.1%
Day trading 144 1.17 1.7%
Swing trading 48 2.26 0.9%
Position trading 12 3.88 0.5%

And it needs the least screen time of the fast three. 48 decisions across the whole history rather than 576 — which for anyone with a job is not a minor detail, it is the deciding one.

What it costs

The chart with an entry price and the lowest price reached during the hold both marked.
The position went 2.95 against the entry before it worked.

The example hold went 2.95 against the entry before it came good.

That is more than one typical bar of adverse movement, sat through, while the position was open and the account showed a loss.

This is the real price of the style and it is not a fee. The cost table above says swing trading is cheap; the chart above says it is uncomfortable. Both are true, and the second one is what stops people.

Overnight is not optional

The 48-bar chart annotated to show each bar contains many faster bars and time away from the screen.
Every bar here contains twelve of the fastest chart, and a night.

Each of these bars covers time you were not watching. A day trader chooses to give up what happens overnight; a swing trader has no such option.

Which means the stop is doing more work. It has to survive news, gaps, and a session opening somewhere other than where it closed — so it goes further away than a day trade’s stop, and the position is sized smaller to compensate. That is the risk management arithmetic, and skipping it here is more expensive than skipping it anywhere else.

The work is selection, not execution

A structural difference from the faster styles, and the one that changes how you spend your time.

A day trader watches a handful of instruments closely. The universe is small because the sessions are long and the attention required is continuous.

A swing trader cannot do that. Holding for weeks means you want the best few setups available anywhere, not the best setup in the three symbols you happen to follow — and there are thousands of candidates.

So the work moves upstream, into filtering. A scan that reduces a few thousand instruments to a handful worth looking at, run once a day or once a week, is the actual job. The chart reading afterwards takes minutes.

Which is why the style suits someone with limited hours. The expensive part is a filter you write once, not a screen you sit in front of.

A worked example

Look once a day, at the same time. Ten minutes. The style does not reward watching.

Wait for a pullback in an established trend — the most common swing entry, and the one the market structure page describes.

Name the invalidation before entering: below the last higher low. That is a real price and it is several bars away, which is exactly why the position must be small.

Then hold through the drawdown you already agreed to. 2.95 against, on the example above. The decision to accept that was made at entry; re-making it mid-trade is the failure.

And exit on your reason ending, not on the discomfort.

The original data

Across our study of 24,971 trading videos, 642 cover swing trading. The median one gets 6,307 views, 78% never pass 50,000, and the median length is 14.1 minutes.

Length rises as the style slows — 12.4 minutes for scalping, 12.8 for day trading, 14.1 here and 15.4 for position trading.

And the audience is a third of scalping’s, at 6,307 against 19,260, despite a cost structure four and a half times better on the same market.

The corpus carries description text for 106 of those 642, and across those 106, five mention invalidation, failure, or what a bad read looks like.

When it fails

Slower is not smoother

Six consecutive bars shaded, with almost no net movement across them.
Six bars, and 0.06 of net movement.

Six consecutive bars on this chart produced 0.06 of net movement — weeks of holding, for nothing.

A longer timeframe does not remove the sideways market, it just makes each sideways stretch take longer to find out about. On a fast chart you waste an afternoon; here you waste a month.

The drawdown is bigger than you planned for

Covered above, and it is the most common reason people abandon this style. 2.95 against is a comfortable number to read and a hard number to sit through, and the difference between those two experiences is position size.

The gap you cannot stop out of

A stop is an instruction, not a guarantee of price. If the market opens well past your level, you are filled where it opens — which is a risk a day trader does not carry and the reason position size matters more here.

You judged the trade before it finished

The chart cut off part-way through a position with nothing after it.
In a position. Add, hold, or out?

A completed swing is obvious. Nine bars in, a trade that is working and a trade that is about to fail look the same, and the plan made at entry is the only thing that tells them apart.

Day trading is one step faster, where the cost is 1.7% of a bar and nothing is held overnight.

Position trading is one step slower, with a cost share of 0.5% and a drawdown to match.

And pullback is the entry this style is usually built on.

What I actually do

This is what I mostly do, and the reason is a practical one rather than an analytical one: it fits around a life. I look at charts in the evening, I make a decision or I do not, and I am not sat in front of a screen at eleven in the morning. The part I underestimated for a long time is how much of it is sitting still while a position goes against you. The analysis takes half an hour a week. The waiting is the job.

— Michael Whitman, from this video

This page is educational, not financial advice. Test every idea on your own charts before risking money.