Chandelier Exit: Hung From the High
The chandelier exit places a trailing stop three average true ranges below the highest high of the last twenty-two bars, so it hangs from the top of the move rather than from the entry price. It is a rules-based exit and it produces no entry signal at all.
How it works
The chandelier exit hangs a stop below a recent high. For a long position it sits a fixed number of average true ranges beneath the highest high of the lookback window.
The name describes the anchoring. A chandelier hangs from the ceiling and moves up as the ceiling rises; the stop does the same thing from the highest high.
The published defaults are 22 bars and 3 average ranges. Twenty-two is roughly a trading month of daily bars, and three is a deliberately loose multiple. Both are settings, not laws.
The anchoring is the real difference from an ordinary trail. Your entry price is an accident of when you happened to act; the highest high since then is a property of the market, and the exit reads better for it.
What the defaults deliver
Measured on this site’s shared 576-bar history, a trail at three average ranges lasted a median of 22 bars across 562 trials, with the ninetieth percentile at 47.
92% of them ended in a stop-out. The loose multiple postpones the exit and does not avoid it, which is the honest description of every trailing rule.
The 22-bar window is the parameter that gets ignored. A shorter lookback drops old highs sooner, so the anchor falls faster after a peak and the stop tightens; a longer one keeps a distant high alive and leaves the stop far below price for weeks. Both changes move holding time in the same way the multiple does, which is why changing them together makes any result impossible to attribute.
In practice
Nothing in the calculation looks at volume. A high made on heavy participation and one made on nothing anchor the stop identically.
The lookback is in bars, so its meaning changes with the chart. Twenty-two five-minute bars is under two hours, and the same setting on a daily chart is a month of trading.
A gap below the level fills at the open, and because the chandelier sits far below price by design, the gaps that reach it are the large ones.
It produces no entry signal. Price crossing the line is an exit for a position you already hold and says nothing about opening one.
The loose setting is cheap on turnover. A 22-bar median holding period means far fewer round trips than a tight trail, and each one is 2% of a median bar’s range on this history.
The exit price is arithmetic. No participant is defending it, which argues for placing it beyond structure rather than treating it as structure.
Position size is the other half
A three-range stop is a wide stop, and a wide stop with an unchanged position size is a large loss. The distance and the size have to move together, or the looser exit simply converts a series of small losses into a smaller series of much larger ones.
The arithmetic is straightforward: risk per trade divided by stop distance gives position size. With the distance moving as volatility changes, the size changes on every trade — which is the part most people skip, and the part that decides whether a loose exit is an improvement or an expensive habit.
What a chandelier exit is not
It is not an entry system. It only manages a position you have.
It is not fixed risk. The distance moves with volatility.
It is not anchored to you. The market’s high sets the level.
And it is not gap-proof. Nothing resting at a price is.
When it fails
In a range the highest high stops rising, so the stop freezes and the exit behaves like a fixed one — protecting nothing that a static level would not have protected while the position goes nowhere.
The second failure is a lookback longer than the trend. A 22-bar high from three weeks ago keeps the stop absurdly far below current price and gives back most of the move.
A third is tightening the multiple after a bad exit. The setting is fitted to the trade that just finished and shortens every future one.
A fourth is running it without adjusting size. Three average ranges of risk at an unchanged size is a much larger loss than the method intends.
And a fifth is treating 22 and 3 as correct. They are the defaults from one publication, and the survival table is how you check what your own choice buys.
The original data
On this site’s shared 576-bar history, a trail at three average true ranges opened at every eligible bar
survived a median of 22 bars, a mean of 25.0 and a ninetieth percentile of 47, with 92% stopped out across
562 trials. The 14-bar average true range has a median of 0.5994, ranging from 0.2823 to 0.7954 between the
tenth and ninetieth percentiles. The figures are in research/series-measurements.json, produced by
site/measure_series.py.
The gap between the median of 22 bars and the ninetieth percentile of 47 is where the method earns its keep. A trend-following exit only works if it occasionally holds through a long move, and that ninetieth percentile is where the profit that pays for all the ordinary exits comes from. Judge a loose exit on that tail rather than on its average — the median is where most trades finish, and the tail is why the rule exists at all.
Related
ATR trailing stop is the general form and the parameter discussion. Trailing stop has the full survival table across six distances. And stop loss placement covers choosing between structure and calculation.
What I like about the chandelier is that it is anchored to the market rather than to me. My entry price is a fact about my day; the highest high since I got in is a fact about the market. Anchoring the exit to the second one removed a lot of arguing with myself.
— Michael Whitman
This page is educational, not financial advice. Test every idea on your own charts before risking money.