WhitmanTrading

What Is Short Selling?

Short selling is borrowing shares, selling them, and buying them back later to return them. The profit is the difference if the price fell, which makes it the one position whose maximum loss is not capped, because a price can rise without limit.

How it works

A candlestick chart of the site's shared price history. The headline on the chart reads: Sell first, buy back later - the order is the only difference.
Sell first, buy back later - the order is the only difference. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Short selling reverses the sequence of an ordinary trade. Instead of buying and later selling, you sell first and buy back afterwards. The chart is identical; only the order of your two transactions changes.

You cannot sell what you do not have, so the shares are borrowed. Your broker locates them, usually from another client’s holdings or an institutional lender, and they are sold into the market on your behalf.

A 72-bar candlestick section of the shared price history. The headline on the chart reads: Someone has to own the share before you can sell it.
Someone has to own the share before you can sell it. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

What you owe is the share, not the money. That distinction is the whole risk profile. If the price doubles, you still owe one share, and buying it back now costs twice what you received.

The asymmetry, measured

A candlestick chart of the site's shared price history, with the opening price, the highest high and the lowest low drawn as horizontal lines. The headline on the chart reads: And the two sides are not the same size.
And the two sides are not the same size. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

The asymmetry is arithmetic, not opinion. A share bought at 100 can fall to zero, so the worst outcome is a 100% loss. The same share can rise to 200, 500 or 1,000 — and a short seller owes the difference at every one of those prices.

Measured on the site’s shared history, the largest rise from the opening price was +5.6% and the largest fall −2.8%. Those are the two lines on the chart above. Over this stretch the move available to a short was half the size of the move available against one.

The borrow is rented, not free. A fee accrues daily against the value of the position, quoted as an annual rate. On heavily shorted names it can be very large, and it is charged for every day you hold, including the ones where nothing happens.

A 72-bar window of the shared price history. The headline on the chart reads: You are renting shares, and the rent runs daily.
You are renting shares, and the rent runs daily. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

In practice: borrow, recall and squeeze

A candlestick chart of the site's shared price history, with the entry price and the margin-call level drawn as horizontal lines. The headline on the chart reads: A short is a margin position whether you wanted one or not.
A short is a margin position whether you wanted one or not. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

A short can only be held in a margin account, because the broker is lending you an asset. That means the maintenance requirement applies, and it applies in the direction that hurts: as the price rises, the position’s value rises, the debt grows, and equity falls.

Sell 100 shares at 100 for $10,000. The price rises 20% to 120 and buying them back now costs $12,000. You are down $2,000 on a 20% move, and the collateral requirement has gone up rather than down, because the position is larger than when you opened it.

A calmly advancing stretch of the long price series. The headline on the chart reads: Covering is buying, which is why it accelerates the move.
Covering is buying, which is why it accelerates the move. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

Closing a short means buying. That is why forced closes cluster: as price rises, short sellers are compelled to buy, which pushes price up, which compels more of them. The mechanism is circular by construction.

A strongly rising stretch of the long price series, cut short at the decision bar. The headline on the chart reads: A squeeze is forced buying, which is why it looks like that.
A squeeze is forced buying, which is why it looks like that. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

A squeeze is not a pattern; it is that feedback loop made visible. It is most violent where the float is small, because the shares needed to close out are the same scarce shares everyone else needs.

A long-horizon candlestick view of the same price series. The headline on the chart reads: And the lender can ask for it back on a day that suits them.
And the lender can ask for it back on a day that suits them. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

The lender can recall the shares at any time. If your broker cannot find a replacement, the position is bought in — closed at the market, on their schedule, regardless of your view.

Two more obligations travel with a borrowed share. Any dividend paid while you are short is owed by you to the lender, because the person who bought the shares from you receives it and the original owner still expects it. And a hard-to-borrow name can see its fee rise sharply while you hold, with no notice and no option to decline the new rate.

There is also a rule that changes what you are allowed to do. When a stock falls more than 10% in a day, an alternative uptick restriction switches on for the rest of that session and the next: short sales may then only execute above the current best bid. It does not forbid shorting, but it removes the ability to hit the bid on the way down, which is exactly the moment most short sellers want to act.

When it fails

A sideways, range-bound candlestick series. The headline on the chart reads: Being right about a company and early is still a loss.
Being right about a company and early is still a loss. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

The characteristic failure is being right too soon. A company can be overvalued for a year, and a short held through that year pays borrow costs the whole way, faces a call on every rally, and can be recalled at any point in it.

A candlestick chart of the site's shared price history, annotated with the round-trip cost. The headline on the chart reads: Plus the ordinary round trip: 2% of a typical bar.
Plus the ordinary round trip: 2% of a typical bar. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

And the ordinary costs still apply on top. The spread, the commission and the round trip are charged exactly as they are on a long, before the borrow fee is counted.

The last failure is a sizing error disguised as a conviction. Because a short position grows as it moves against you, a size that was comfortable at entry is larger by the time it hurts. A long position shrinks as it goes wrong, which quietly limits the damage. A short does the opposite, and that is a structural difference rather than a psychological one.

Position sizing therefore has to be done backwards on a short. The question is not what you are willing to risk at today’s price, but what the position becomes if the price doubles before your thesis is settled. Sizing to the entry is what turns a defensible idea into a forced exit, and it is the single most common way an otherwise reasonable short ends badly.

The original data

10 of the 24,971 videos measured for this site cover short selling, at a median of 26,853 views. That is modest coverage for a mechanism that governs how every sharp advance in a small-float name behaves.

A candlestick chart of the site's shared price history, cut short at the decision bar.
It has run twenty percent on no news. Short it? Illustrative chart - not real market data.

The +5.6% and −2.8% figures on this page were computed from the site’s shared history, not quoted from anywhere. They are a small illustration of a general point: the up-tail is longer than the down-tail, and a short seller is standing on the wrong end of it.

Long and short sets out the two directions and why they are not mirror images. Margin is the account a short necessarily runs in. And float is the number that decides how violent a squeeze in a given name can get.

What I actually do

I short far less than I go long, and it is not a view about markets going up. It is that I have to be right about direction, size and timing simultaneously, and the borrow cost is deducted while I wait to find out.

— Michael Whitman

This page is educational, not financial advice. Test every idea on your own charts before risking money.