WhitmanTrading

RSI vs Stochastic

The relative strength index compares recent gains with recent losses over a chosen length. The stochastic oscillator compares the latest close with the recent high-low range instead. Both produce a nought-to-one-hundred reading from the same bars, and the second one is considerably twitchier.

Two bounded oscillators, both scaled from nought to one hundred, both read for the same things. They are almost always shown together, and the case for doing that is weaker than it looks.

What each one is

The relative strength index compares recent gains with recent losses over a chosen length and expresses the result on a fixed scale. The relative strength index covers it.

The stochastic oscillator compares the latest close with the recent high-low range. A close near the top of the range reads high; near the bottom reads low. Stochastic covers it.

Both are bounded, and that is their shared virtue. A reading means the same shape of thing on any instrument, which an unbounded indicator cannot offer.

Where they differ

What is being compared. Gains against losses in one; the close against the range in the other. Those are different questions that produce similar-looking answers most of the time.

How twitchy each is. The stochastic moves far more, because the recent range is a smaller and more volatile denominator than a run of gains and losses.

A slice of price data where two oscillators separate.
They part company on wide-range bars. Illustrative chart - not real market data.

How many parameters each has. One length on the strength index. The stochastic has a lookback and two smoothing settings, so there is considerably more to fit and more to get wrong.

How each behaves at an extreme. Both pin. The stochastic reaches its extremes far more often, which means an extreme reading on it carries even less information than on the other.

Where they agree

Both read the same bars. Neither adds information from outside the price series, so agreement between them is a property of the arithmetic.

Both pin in a trend. A strong move holds either at an extreme for many bars, and reading that as overbought is the single most common error with both.

Both fail in a range. Without a trend, price flips direction every few bars, and short runs send the relative strength index and the stochastic back and forth across any threshold you set.

And neither contains a stop. An oscillator describes recent closes, not where a trade idea is proved wrong, and one unusually wide bar can pass straight through any stop set from a reading. The invalidation belongs at structure rather than at a threshold.

Which one to use: RSI or Stochastic?

Run the relative strength index when you want the steadier reading. Fewer extremes means each one is worth slightly more, and one parameter is easier to leave alone than three.

Run the stochastic when you want speed and will accept noise. It turns earlier at genuine reversals and also at a great many non-reversals, which is the same trade every faster tool offers.

Run one, not both. Two bounded oscillators on the same bars are one measurement displayed twice, and the confidence produced by seeing them agree is not supported by anything.

And when you want a genuine second opinion, use something that is not price — volume, or the structure of the chart. Anything computed from the same closes will keep agreeing with you.

Why the extremes mislead

Because an extreme means the recent bars were one-sided. That is a description of what already happened, and one-sided bars are exactly what a trend is made of.

And because both can stay pinned far longer than a position can be held. The reading has no time limit and your account does.

What to fix before either is useful

Write the signal down. Which threshold, crossed which way, held for how many bars. A rule you can state is a rule you can review; one you recognize on sight is one you will recognize after the fact.

Fix the parameters and leave them. Three settings on the stochastic is three opportunities to fit the past, and changing any of them after a losing run resets your sample to zero.

Decide what an extreme means to you. If it means a reversal is due, you will be wrong through every trend; if it means the move is strong, you have a different and more defensible tool.

And count the signals. Price reverses briefly far more often than it changes trend, so any threshold rule fires far more often than a market actually turns, and the count is what tells you whether the rule can pay for itself. Tally the triggers on a year of your own chart before trading either.

The original data

The relative strength index appears in 594 titles at a median of 5,377 across 393 channels, and the stochastic in 184 at a median of 11,915 across 136.

594 videos on one at 5,377 and 184 on the other at 11,915. Three times the coverage for the steadier tool and less than half the audience per video — the less-taught oscillator draws substantially more interest per upload.

Price bars near the top of their run, volume beneath, and neither reading plotted anywhere.
Both oscillators at an extreme. Short? Illustrative chart - not real market data.

The answer to the question on that chart is that both are at an extreme because the same bars were one-sided. That is what a strong move looks like from inside — and fading it means betting against the only thing either indicator has actually measured.

When it fails

The failure is fading extremes in a trend, and both oscillators encourage it every bar. The reading reaches its threshold, which is presented as overbought, so a short is taken. The move continues and the reading stays pinned, which looks like an even stronger case. It is not a stronger case — it is the same observation repeated, because a sustained move keeps recent bars one-sided by definition. The position is added to as the evidence appears to mount, and the mounting evidence is the trend itself.

The second failure is running both for confirmation. They read the same closes.

A third is optimizing the stochastic’s three settings. That is fitting.

A fourth is treating a threshold as an entry. It is a description.

A fifth is finding divergence by looking. Any two series diverge somewhere.

And a sixth is expecting either to lead price. Both are computed from closed bars.

The relative strength index covers gains against losses. Stochastic covers the close against the recent range. And stochastic RSI covers what happens when one is run on the other.

The practical check

These two are on more beginner charts together than any other pair, and the reason given is always the same — confirmation. They read the same bars. If they disagree it is a difference in smoothing, and if they agree it is arithmetic.

— Michael Whitman

This page is educational, not financial advice. Test every idea on your own charts before risking money.